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Dec 6, 2012
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as soon as you get done figuring out, how much is sandy, how much is not sandy, we have to start dealing with the fiscal cliff so there's a shock behind us and a shock in front of us. so we're in limbo right now. and we're expecting a big effect from sandy in the friday number, especially in maybe the household survey, they moved the survey week back a week. because of an early thanksgiving. they do that -- so instead of it being the week of the 12th, it's the week of the 5th. >> so this number is going to tell us nothing tomorrow? > know there's going to be a lot of discussion about it. i'll stick to my guns, it's a 125 to 150 economy growth some of that could be sandy. i don't donknow if you want to k about that chart. this looks at the net effect acceptable. if 30% say it's acceptable and 20% say -- these are what we asked people. how many is that? that's five of eight different solutions. >> people say, yes, we're okay dealing with the fiscal cliff, if you raise taxes on those who make more than $250,000 and then you cap deductions, and virtually everything else is off the table. >>
as soon as you get done figuring out, how much is sandy, how much is not sandy, we have to start dealing with the fiscal cliff so there's a shock behind us and a shock in front of us. so we're in limbo right now. and we're expecting a big effect from sandy in the friday number, especially in maybe the household survey, they moved the survey week back a week. because of an early thanksgiving. they do that -- so instead of it being the week of the 12th, it's the week of the 5th. >> so this...
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Dec 6, 2012
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early thanksgiving, hurricane sandy. is this rally at the end of the day having anything to do with any anticipation of the jobs report? what are you looking for? >> no, i don't think so. we're looking for almost exactly half. we had 171,000. the consensus is 85 to 90,000. we're looking at half. i understand that, you know, superstorm san difs a horrible event, and i am sure it's going to take some jobs out, but it's going to also be a bit of an excusetrending well. i'll give you an example. wells fargo gallup does a small survey. on hiring, small businesses dropped to the lowest level of opt miimism in four years. it doesn't matter what ben bernanke does. i think his programs have long since not really helped the employment side, but the fiscal cliff is doing obvious damage. that's going to make what everybody knows is coming. we ran out of two years to sell. they're going to go from a twist to outright purchases. it's fully built into the market, but it isn't going to help. the fiscal cliff is going to do more damage t
early thanksgiving, hurricane sandy. is this rally at the end of the day having anything to do with any anticipation of the jobs report? what are you looking for? >> no, i don't think so. we're looking for almost exactly half. we had 171,000. the consensus is 85 to 90,000. we're looking at half. i understand that, you know, superstorm san difs a horrible event, and i am sure it's going to take some jobs out, but it's going to also be a bit of an excusetrending well. i'll give you an...
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Dec 6, 2012
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to find out if increased home sales and efforts to rebuild after hurricane sandy could drive it higher. scuba diving the great barrier reef with sharks, or jumping into the market, he goes with people he trusts, which is why he trades with a company that doesn't nickel and dime him with hidden fees. so he can worry about other things, like what the market is doing and being ready, no matter what happens, which isn't rocket science. it's just common sense, from td ameritrade. ♪ mom? dad? guys? [ engine turns over ] [ engine revs ] ♪ he'll be fine. [ male announcer ] more people are leaving bmw, mercedes and lexus for audi than ever before. take advantage of exceptional values during the season of audi event. take advantage of exceptional values when you take a closer look... ...at the best schools in the world... ...you see they all have something very interesting in common. they have teachers... ...with a deeper knowledge of their subjects. as a result, their students achieve at a higher level. let's develop more stars in education. let's invest in our teachers... ...so they can in
to find out if increased home sales and efforts to rebuild after hurricane sandy could drive it higher. scuba diving the great barrier reef with sharks, or jumping into the market, he goes with people he trusts, which is why he trades with a company that doesn't nickel and dime him with hidden fees. so he can worry about other things, like what the market is doing and being ready, no matter what happens, which isn't rocket science. it's just common sense, from td ameritrade. ♪ mom? dad? guys?...
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Dec 7, 2012
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founder of lumber liquidators to find out if increased home sales and efforts to rebuild after hurricane sandy could drive it higher. all coming up on "mad money." >>> don't miss a second of "mad money." follow @jimcramer on twitter. have a question? tweet cramer #madtweets. send jim an e-mail to madmoney@cnbc.com or give us a call at 1-800-743-cnbc. miss something? head to madmoney.cnbc.com. n you. ...at the best schools in the world... ...you see they all have something very interesting in common. they have teachers... ...with a deeper knowledge of their subjects. as a result, their students achieve at a higher level. let's develop more stars in education. let's invest in our teachers... ...so they can inspire our students. let's solve this. >>> here in the united states, we're sitting on titanic amounts of energy that's both cheaper and cleaner than coal or oil, talking about natural gas. but we end up burning off millions of cubic feet of it every day because we don't have enough demand since our government refuses to support embracing nat gas for surface vehicles. while we probably aren't
founder of lumber liquidators to find out if increased home sales and efforts to rebuild after hurricane sandy could drive it higher. all coming up on "mad money." >>> don't miss a second of "mad money." follow @jimcramer on twitter. have a question? tweet cramer #madtweets. send jim an e-mail to madmoney@cnbc.com or give us a call at 1-800-743-cnbc. miss something? head to madmoney.cnbc.com. n you. ...at the best schools in the world... ...you see they all have...
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Dec 7, 2012
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you had sandy. i mean, it may be -- the journal argued it's the least important jobs number in five years. >> i saw that. i do think one thing we can certainly say given that china seems to be stabilizing a bit, we can all discuss europe. greek situation. maybe it's off the front pages for a while. and so if we assume that the jobs picture in the u.s. is not bad, let's assume not bad, it puts even more of a focus on the fiscal cliff negotiations because it becomes even more binding one would assume in terms of good or bad for the market, for the economy. >> kernen had a good point. does strength mean the economy could handle a cliff or is it so good you wouldn't want to tamper -- >> if i wanted to create a recession, what would i do? i would raise everybody's rates. i would cut the unemployment benefit. just trying to think of a theory of how i could cause a recession. i would cut back government spending quickly. >> i would raise interest rates to 20%. >> bernanke ought to join the -- look, i think
you had sandy. i mean, it may be -- the journal argued it's the least important jobs number in five years. >> i saw that. i do think one thing we can certainly say given that china seems to be stabilizing a bit, we can all discuss europe. greek situation. maybe it's off the front pages for a while. and so if we assume that the jobs picture in the u.s. is not bad, let's assume not bad, it puts even more of a focus on the fiscal cliff negotiations because it becomes even more binding one...
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Dec 7, 2012
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hurricane sandy, though, still making waves. analysts expect the super storm to dent unemployment figures out later today. we'll review that report when we come back. >>> here are the headlines. u.s. job growth is expected to have slowed significantly in november as hurricane sandy battered the economy. japanese authorities have lifted all tsunami warnings after a 7.3 magnitude quake struck off the northeastern coast. and bundesbank has sharply lowered germany's growth outlook from 1.6 to a mere 0.4%. it's warned of an imminent recession as problems in europe periphery weigh. futures at the moment forecasts a soft start. down 15 at the moment on the dow, nasdaq currently called down 3.8, and s&p 500 around 1.5 points. european stocks are flat really. forgave points for the ftse, xetra dax is up though at it highest level since 2008. up nearly 28% this year. flat on the cac, ibex down two thirds. but hurricane sandy is expected to have put a pretty big accident in the november u.s. jobs report. it's out at 8:30 eastern. nonfarm p
hurricane sandy, though, still making waves. analysts expect the super storm to dent unemployment figures out later today. we'll review that report when we come back. >>> here are the headlines. u.s. job growth is expected to have slowed significantly in november as hurricane sandy battered the economy. japanese authorities have lifted all tsunami warnings after a 7.3 magnitude quake struck off the northeastern coast. and bundesbank has sharply lowered germany's growth outlook from 1.6...
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Dec 7, 2012
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now, again, back to hurricane sandy. from the commissioner's statement, the storm we saw happen on october 29th, the next pay period ended on november 12th. the way bls essentially keeps score it says workers have to be off work for the entire pay period to be counted on the negative side. on the household survey side, persons who missed work for weather-related events are counted as employed whether or not they are paid for the time off. we did have a drop in the labor force participation rate, down 0.2 to 63.6%. how did we get to 7.7% unemployment? basically the number of unemployed persons dropped more than the number of employed and there were downward trends in both those categories. lots to chew on. back to you guys. >> hampton, thank you. we are kind of scratching our heads. let's get more reaction from our panel. mark zandi and jared bernstein are here with us. mark, what do you make of this number? we've set this up as numbers were not going to be things we watched closely because of sandy. >> i'd say two things
now, again, back to hurricane sandy. from the commissioner's statement, the storm we saw happen on october 29th, the next pay period ended on november 12th. the way bls essentially keeps score it says workers have to be off work for the entire pay period to be counted on the negative side. on the household survey side, persons who missed work for weather-related events are counted as employed whether or not they are paid for the time off. we did have a drop in the labor force participation...
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Dec 7, 2012
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no substantive sandy in the jobs numbers. the lack of sandy effect has us scratching our heads, what they said. i just got off the phone with the guy who's the head of doing the numbers, labor numbers at the bls. he walked me through the rather extensibilive process they did fine out if there was any sandy effect, including sampling of businesses in a flood tide areas. >> it was very meticulous. >> i'm pretty convinced they did a good job figuring out if there was an effect and there is no effect which brings us to the numbers which you could believe on face value as much as you can. they'll revise this again. they only come forward with 60% to 70% of the sample. unemployment rate falling 7.7% because largely a drop in the labor force. average hourly earnings up 0.2%. despite positive headlines, xwoeld man sax says we interpret this report as one only slightly better than expected overall given downward revisions and weaker labor force and it does not change our assessment of the underlying strength of the labor market. priva
no substantive sandy in the jobs numbers. the lack of sandy effect has us scratching our heads, what they said. i just got off the phone with the guy who's the head of doing the numbers, labor numbers at the bls. he walked me through the rather extensibilive process they did fine out if there was any sandy effect, including sampling of businesses in a flood tide areas. >> it was very meticulous. >> i'm pretty convinced they did a good job figuring out if there was an effect and...
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Dec 5, 2012
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it may have been reduced by 86,000 because of hurricane sandy. but there was a good number today which was the ism data when it comes to the services sector. you can see it was up. there's the adp data. but i want to talk about the services sector which was up a bit more than expected. then what you had, business activity was up, new orders were up, employment was the one thing that was down. i don't know if that's a sandy effect. that could be also, by the way, a fiscal cliff effect. zplint vi >> interviewing secretary geithner later today. what's your first question going to be? >> i want to get his response -- we had the president respond to boehner's proposal but i want to get the secretary's response, too, the specific issue of, hey, the republicans looked like they made a step forward, actually got some accolades in some of the press for agreeing to new revenues. where's the administration's response on that side? are they willing to give? i think that's a key question right now in terms of what the news flow is right now but also there's c
it may have been reduced by 86,000 because of hurricane sandy. but there was a good number today which was the ism data when it comes to the services sector. you can see it was up. there's the adp data. but i want to talk about the services sector which was up a bit more than expected. then what you had, business activity was up, new orders were up, employment was the one thing that was down. i don't know if that's a sandy effect. that could be also, by the way, a fiscal cliff effect. zplint vi...
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the blame goes to superstorm sandy. goldman says the party is officially over for gold. >> starbucks at an investors conference will add 1,500 stores in the u.s. over the next five years. wait until you hear what they said about china. >> a big day in media. pandora ceo joins us live later this morning as the stock fell nearly 20% on weak guidance and netflix signs a big exclusive with disney. how much are they having to pay up for that? >>> let's deal with this big deal. as i've been telling you we'll see a lot of big deals -- i was wrong. here we are. freeport mcmoran buying not one but two companies. the combined price if you add it all together gets close to $20 billion. that does include debt. let's go through some of the details. it's somewhat complex. let's start with bigger of the two deals. freeport's purchase of plains. approximately $6.9 billion in total now. it's a cash and stock deal. .6531 shares and 39 bucks a share in cash. that adds up to $50 a share. that's a fairly significant premium when we look at
the blame goes to superstorm sandy. goldman says the party is officially over for gold. >> starbucks at an investors conference will add 1,500 stores in the u.s. over the next five years. wait until you hear what they said about china. >> a big day in media. pandora ceo joins us live later this morning as the stock fell nearly 20% on weak guidance and netflix signs a big exclusive with disney. how much are they having to pay up for that? >>> let's deal with this big deal....
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also matt mccormick, sandy lincoln, and john spolinsani. what do we do between now and the end of the year? >> we wait. you hope there will be a resolution with the fiscal cliff. also 2013 could be a difficult year. it's the first year of the presidential term which is usually a weak un. earnings growth looks a little bit weaker. we are very big on di dends. we believe this is a grinded out market. prepare for instability. >> so it's glass half empty for you right now. >> we'd like to be optimistic but tell clients buy with sound balance sheets. and if the market goes up better, we're in a better position. >> i have to press you on what you say about you like companies that pay better dividends? >> right now you're looking at the. senate bill will will tax for gross incomes of $250,000. that's not a deal killer. there was an article this week talking about how dividends -- people buy dividends for income and downside protection. those issues do not go away regardless of what happens with taxes. people need income. >> you told us last time y
also matt mccormick, sandy lincoln, and john spolinsani. what do we do between now and the end of the year? >> we wait. you hope there will be a resolution with the fiscal cliff. also 2013 could be a difficult year. it's the first year of the presidential term which is usually a weak un. earnings growth looks a little bit weaker. we are very big on di dends. we believe this is a grinded out market. prepare for instability. >> so it's glass half empty for you right now. >> we'd...
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how much is blamed on sandy when it shouldn't? >> everything blamed on sandy. that's going to work for a while. once you dig into the details, wait a minute, this isn't all sandy. because the east coast is a very big part of the -- >> obviously oh, yes. >> the economy. >> everybody who has gone through sandy. >> chicago is a big part, texas, california, they weren't affected directly by sandy. so that will come back much quicker if it's going to come back. that's where you have to look, to see what the trend was beforehand. >> okay. now europe. you know, there was a little bit of a -- a confusion this morning when spain asked for a bailout. they're talking bank bailout, country bailout, new program. rates are down. i've seen many stories, if this is really going to be a positive rates being down, we have to really draw in more global investors. do you think that will happen ultimately? >> ultimately, i do think it will. any time europe gets pushed to the background, i'm kind of pleased. as long as their banking system isn't going to affect ours, i think we can
how much is blamed on sandy when it shouldn't? >> everything blamed on sandy. that's going to work for a while. once you dig into the details, wait a minute, this isn't all sandy. because the east coast is a very big part of the -- >> obviously oh, yes. >> the economy. >> everybody who has gone through sandy. >> chicago is a big part, texas, california, they weren't affected directly by sandy. so that will come back much quicker if it's going to come back. that's...
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Dec 8, 2012
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industry estimates put the total amount of damage from superstorm sandy at $50 billion. insurance companies are expected to pick up between $10-$20 billion of that. that puts superstorm sandy at the top of the list ahead of hurricanes ike, ivan, and irene. monday we will look at why rebuilding from sandy is so expensive thanks to where she came ashore. ruben ramirez, seaside heights, new jersey. back here on wall street, tom, some interesting revolutions from netflix today saying it got a wells notice and being investigated by the securities and exchange commission. behind it is a very interesting debate going on. the reason for the investigation is that the ceo reid hastings had posted some information on his facebook page about developments at the company and the fec said you didn't disclose this property, should have been a press release or filing with the sec and raises new questions about social media and fair disclosure. >> tom: this is all about how technology is changing and regulations have a hard time susie keeping up with it. we see it with high frequency trad
industry estimates put the total amount of damage from superstorm sandy at $50 billion. insurance companies are expected to pick up between $10-$20 billion of that. that puts superstorm sandy at the top of the list ahead of hurricanes ike, ivan, and irene. monday we will look at why rebuilding from sandy is so expensive thanks to where she came ashore. ruben ramirez, seaside heights, new jersey. back here on wall street, tom, some interesting revolutions from netflix today saying it got a wells...
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Dec 3, 2012
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particularly on the consumer side as well, because of sandy. so i think in the meantime, until we get a resolution, i've said before, i think you're going to be in a trading range. and i think into the strength of the market, you want to take some off, never bad to have some cash. but on these pullbacks, i think you want to be buying, because i actually think the economy is getting better, particularly when you look at housing, consumer, even auto and aerospace, all those data points point to 2013. >> are you buying the market on any pullback? >> i like the santa claus rally with josh and would be raising cash. i think the risk in the markets further on the down side than the up side. but when you see some real pullbacks, buy the stock if you like it. >> morgan stanley's top market watcher has been bearish all year and not ready to change his mind. adam parker joins us live. welcome back to halftime. good to see you. >> how are you, scott? >> 1167 is where you thought we would be at the end of the year. you'll be far short. why aren't you willi
particularly on the consumer side as well, because of sandy. so i think in the meantime, until we get a resolution, i've said before, i think you're going to be in a trading range. and i think into the strength of the market, you want to take some off, never bad to have some cash. but on these pullbacks, i think you want to be buying, because i actually think the economy is getting better, particularly when you look at housing, consumer, even auto and aerospace, all those data points point to...
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Dec 6, 2012
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it actually blamed the fiscal cliff in part, as well as super storm sandy. the ceo said consumers were distracted by the cliff. the storm and the election. staying with clothing, vera bradley -- well, handbags. those shares also tanking and they are blaming sandy as well but also noted their holiday season is off to a slow start. jeffri jeffries raising the tart fro tm $22 to $20. not all bad news. finisar, higher demand for tranceivers. what else? the stock down 17% year to date. finally, zynga. take a look at shares. they are up nearly 7% because they filed for a gambling license. that is right. the virtual game company wants to become a real poker company. let's bring in julia boorstin with more on this zynga story. seems like if they get it, a completely transformative thing. >> it would be transformative and zynga's definitely pushing forward with its plans to eventually make money from online gambling but the key thing here is that this is really a ways off. the stock soared as much as 9% higher this morning after it came out that zynga applied for rea
it actually blamed the fiscal cliff in part, as well as super storm sandy. the ceo said consumers were distracted by the cliff. the storm and the election. staying with clothing, vera bradley -- well, handbags. those shares also tanking and they are blaming sandy as well but also noted their holiday season is off to a slow start. jeffri jeffries raising the tart fro tm $22 to $20. not all bad news. finisar, higher demand for tranceivers. what else? the stock down 17% year to date. finally,...
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Dec 5, 2012
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we believe that the effect of the payroll will be at 50,000 range due to the effect of hurricane sandy which could put our unemployment up to an 8% rate. >> all right. we'll be watching that. thanks very much to you both. we appreciate it. of course we'll be looking at this market and whether or not it loses the steam come the big rally today. ticktock, ticktock on the fiscal cliff. my thoughts on the story from timothy geithner. guess what, folks. i think we're going over the cliff. back in a moment. are system spoke a language all its own with unitedhealthcare, i got help that fit my life. information on my phone. connection to doctors who get where i'm from. and tools to estimate what my care may cost. so i never missed a beat. we're more than 78,000 people looking out for more than 70 million americans. that's health in numbers. unitedhealthcare. with the spark cash card from capital one, sven gets great rewards for his small business! how does this thing work? oh, i like it! [ garth ] sven's small business earns 2% cash back on every purchase, every day! woo-hoo!!! so that's ten s
we believe that the effect of the payroll will be at 50,000 range due to the effect of hurricane sandy which could put our unemployment up to an 8% rate. >> all right. we'll be watching that. thanks very much to you both. we appreciate it. of course we'll be looking at this market and whether or not it loses the steam come the big rally today. ticktock, ticktock on the fiscal cliff. my thoughts on the story from timothy geithner. guess what, folks. i think we're going over the cliff. back...
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Dec 7, 2012
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>> well, keep in mind one of the reasons expectations were so low going into this one was hurricane sandy which everyone expected to be a temporary effect. that didn't material az somewhat mi mysteriously and the labor department indicated it had no impact on the number. you're right, this is not good enough. this is a treading water pace of jobs. it is more of the same. it's not particularly good in the quality of jobs being created so net net i think it's okay but certainly not what we'd like to see. >> maybe, tom, it is not that we are a nation of pessimists. it is that we're a nation of realists. maybe sort of from a strk turl long point of view we just have to get used to this. >> that's a great point. 150,000 is not good enough depending on your expectations for growth. if you're looking for 1.5% to 2% growth you are probably in the sweet spot. but if you are looking for something more, looking for 2.5% to 3% growth you need much more job growth to see that outcome. but we're not there. we don't think we'll get there. there's still too many headwind facing the small business segment
>> well, keep in mind one of the reasons expectations were so low going into this one was hurricane sandy which everyone expected to be a temporary effect. that didn't material az somewhat mi mysteriously and the labor department indicated it had no impact on the number. you're right, this is not good enough. this is a treading water pace of jobs. it is more of the same. it's not particularly good in the quality of jobs being created so net net i think it's okay but certainly not what...
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Dec 6, 2012
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we got the big distortions from san sandy. slowly working through that. so i think if there's an outlier, investors will yawn and wait for the big nonfarm payroll report tomorrow. >> are we comfortable mf-i don't know how comfortable we are. consumers seem to be in better fettl eflt. >> in spite of this anemic job growth that we've had during the entire jobless recovery, it seems like consumers sense the -- their balance sheets have improved pretty dramatically. so, yeah, consumers -- and that's led to consumers spending slightly more than what experts thought they would spend. >> so you're overweight large cap versus small cap. why? >> the large cap u.s. multinationals, they typically have overseas subsidiaries that can reach into the emerging pockets of growth. i like the dividends payers, as well, because in these choppy markets which we'll continue to have get nice dividends. >> all right much ha. . have a good day. that's it for today's program. "squawk box" it is next. ♪ [ male announcer ] how could a luminous protein in jellyfish, impact life exp
we got the big distortions from san sandy. slowly working through that. so i think if there's an outlier, investors will yawn and wait for the big nonfarm payroll report tomorrow. >> are we comfortable mf-i don't know how comfortable we are. consumers seem to be in better fettl eflt. >> in spite of this anemic job growth that we've had during the entire jobless recovery, it seems like consumers sense the -- their balance sheets have improved pretty dramatically. so, yeah, consumers...
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Dec 4, 2012
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know what's going on in the next couple of months, coupled with the fact we just came off of hurricane sandy, this is not the time to play games and taunt one another with these plans that everybody knows are not real plans. >> i agree, but i think we should look beyond one year's growth. we're talking about growth through 2050. the gentleman pretending to know he knows the growth rate between now and 2050 -- >> he gets paid to make predictions, steve. that's what he's doing. by the way, his former predictions have been right. let's give him that. >> some of them have been right. there was a guy in the 19th century who predicted we were all going to starve as he predicted the proplatiopulation of the world with but forgot to predict the agricultural technology. you can't hold one constant and let the other variable be a variable. >> right now this country is focusing on policies that continue to predistribute from the most productive members to those that may be more favorable. that's his point, that we've continued to lose momentum for the past several decades and continuing to implement th
know what's going on in the next couple of months, coupled with the fact we just came off of hurricane sandy, this is not the time to play games and taunt one another with these plans that everybody knows are not real plans. >> i agree, but i think we should look beyond one year's growth. we're talking about growth through 2050. the gentleman pretending to know he knows the growth rate between now and 2050 -- >> he gets paid to make predictions, steve. that's what he's doing. by the...
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Dec 3, 2012
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how much of this demand rise are we going to see will be sandy rebound from sandy and actually real demand? >> we have low interest rates and old cars on the road. so a lot of the demand is real demand. but the other thing is that all the checks haven't been written for sandy. we've had about two weeks of checks coming from insurance companies. but there will be more probably next month of that than there is this month. so it will help. but it's the general market conditions and cars that are on average 11.1 years of age that are really driving car sales. in this low interest rate environment, this is the other big ticket item. >> how are people going to fund their purchases? you have an 11-year-old car, how are they funding the replacement of it? >> well, the availability of credit has improved dramatically over the last eight months or so. and we're even seeing people with bumps in their credit history, subprime borrowers, getting more acceptances of their car loans. and of course there are a lot of incentivized interest rates from the manufacturer's financing arms out there, as well. th
how much of this demand rise are we going to see will be sandy rebound from sandy and actually real demand? >> we have low interest rates and old cars on the road. so a lot of the demand is real demand. but the other thing is that all the checks haven't been written for sandy. we've had about two weeks of checks coming from insurance companies. but there will be more probably next month of that than there is this month. so it will help. but it's the general market conditions and cars that...
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we might actually have printed over 200 absent hurricane sandy. i would argue the trends is getting better. as jim pointed out, we need some clarity on the outlook, and the cliff is very important. if we go off the cliff, even if that number had been 250, the numbers still would weaken next year. >> jim, you have to make money in the meantime. where do you put your money? where are you putting money to work right now? >> well, i'm pessimistic. i share austin's view that i think we're going to go off the cliff and push this thing to february with the debt ceiling bill. as that reality comes in, the market is going to continue to struggle. i would avoid risky assets right now. i'd play something safe. play treasuries because you're not going to lose money on them. i'd play gold. i wouldn't be betting on that we're going to have a fix in place in the next 24 days that's going to lead to a big rebounds. >> all right. hang on one second, guys. we want to bring in and get your reaction to this rather surprising story that our phil lebeau has from illino
we might actually have printed over 200 absent hurricane sandy. i would argue the trends is getting better. as jim pointed out, we need some clarity on the outlook, and the cliff is very important. if we go off the cliff, even if that number had been 250, the numbers still would weaken next year. >> jim, you have to make money in the meantime. where do you put your money? where are you putting money to work right now? >> well, i'm pessimistic. i share austin's view that i think...
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Dec 8, 2012
12/12
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sunset ♪ ♪ >> danny and sandy together again. teaming up for a new christmas album. and if this music video is any indication, let's just say, it will be one of a kind. and that is the week that was. >> what a week it's been. >>> well, the ceo of netflix is under investigation and it's all because he was bragging on his facebook page, apparently. we'll explain. e district. the writer's desktop and the coordinator's phone are working on a joke with local color. the secure cloud just received a revised intro from the strategist's tablet. and while i make my way into the venue, the candidate will be rehearsing off of his phone. [ candidate ] and thanks to every young face i see out there. [ woman ] his phone is one of his biggest supporters. [ female announcer ] with cisco at the center... working together has never worked so well. maybe you want to incorporate a business. or protect your family with a will or living trust. and you'd like the help of an attorney. at legalzoom a legal plan attorney is available in most states with every personalized document to answer qu
sunset ♪ ♪ >> danny and sandy together again. teaming up for a new christmas album. and if this music video is any indication, let's just say, it will be one of a kind. and that is the week that was. >> what a week it's been. >>> well, the ceo of netflix is under investigation and it's all because he was bragging on his facebook page, apparently. we'll explain. e district. the writer's desktop and the coordinator's phone are working on a joke with local color. the...
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Dec 3, 2012
12/12
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CNBC
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sandy. post-sandy storm. buying in the new york, new jersey area. in fact when you talk with dealers in that area they say they saw sales gained throughout the month and that's good news for luxury automakers. bmw just reported sales increasing 38.8% for the year. they've sold almost a quarter million bmws here in the united states and as a company, when you lump in mini , they believe they'll excel past the record of 2007. let's look at the monthly sales rate or annual sales rate. right now we are on track to finish this year probably at about 14 1/2 million. that's going to fall shy of the 16 million in 2007 but above what we saw in 2008. it's certainly what we were expecting and we'll have even stronger numbers in december. >> it is a really good numbers from honda as well. phil lebeau, thank you for that. >>> twint che >>> i want to check back in with jackie deangelis. president taking questions via twitter. >> the first question was@paulmmckenzie. can you assure us that any fiscal cliff negotiations regarding entitlement reform will not hurt th
sandy. post-sandy storm. buying in the new york, new jersey area. in fact when you talk with dealers in that area they say they saw sales gained throughout the month and that's good news for luxury automakers. bmw just reported sales increasing 38.8% for the year. they've sold almost a quarter million bmws here in the united states and as a company, when you lump in mini , they believe they'll excel past the record of 2007. let's look at the monthly sales rate or annual sales rate. right now we...
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Dec 5, 2012
12/12
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you have fiscal cliff, you have hurricane sandy. are you optimistic about what's happening in the economy if you take out the potential shocks? >> i don't think we make any change at all. i think the job market is producing 150,000 jobs per month, that's what we've been producing since the beginning of the year, over the past year, past two years, some months we're a little lower, higher, sometimes seasonal adjustment. if you take this month's number and x out sandy, that's over 200,000. >> that will add some jobs, that's not a fair comparison. >> so 200,000 minus 60 is 150 -- >> so you're right there. >> i don't think the economy has chang chang changed deappreciably over the last year. >> well, i think coming into friday's number, we're a little -- we don't think there's 80,000 worth of impact, might be closer to 40,000 or 50,000. whatever, there's been an impact and i agree with mark's point, 1 in about 150,000 job creation in the economy and i don't know that meaningfully changes. but i would say, if anything, the bias next year
you have fiscal cliff, you have hurricane sandy. are you optimistic about what's happening in the economy if you take out the potential shocks? >> i don't think we make any change at all. i think the job market is producing 150,000 jobs per month, that's what we've been producing since the beginning of the year, over the past year, past two years, some months we're a little lower, higher, sometimes seasonal adjustment. if you take this month's number and x out sandy, that's over 200,000....
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Dec 7, 2012
12/12
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tim, we are being told there could be a murky jobs number because of hurricane sandy. what do you think about that? > > i think the market will dismiss a weaker-than-expected number because of hurricane sandy and the distortions that it has and look more toward next month, or january's report, that we will get. so, i think they will let it slide. but it should be weaker than expected. i think that is expected by the market, so it shouldn't be a surprise. > goldman sachs has a call out that we will see a renaissance in commodities. are you bullish on any particular commodities here? > > i am bullish on the agriculturals, for reasons of which the supply and also the growing drought that we had this past year, the continued conditions that make for dry growing season next year as well. so i think from a supply/demand standpoint, yes, i think agricultural. the other thing i like, commodities in general, is when the fed's buying $85 million a month worth of treasuries, i think you are going to have to like commodities. > what is your play on the dollar? > > i would have exp
tim, we are being told there could be a murky jobs number because of hurricane sandy. what do you think about that? > > i think the market will dismiss a weaker-than-expected number because of hurricane sandy and the distortions that it has and look more toward next month, or january's report, that we will get. so, i think they will let it slide. but it should be weaker than expected. i think that is expected by the market, so it shouldn't be a surprise. > goldman sachs has a call out...
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Dec 10, 2012
12/12
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superstorm sandy. would bring it down by about 80,000. on the other side of the equation, you actually had an early thanksgiving, which could have added some jobs as employers pulled forward their normal seasonal hiring. so the 146, or 147, is about the same as- > 147,000 jobs created. > > right. is about the same as what has been created over the last two years. in 2011 the number was about 150,000 on average. in 2012, 150,000 on average. > it's also based on - at least the unemployment rate of 7.7% - it went down a little bit - based on the fact that there were fewer people looking for work, not more people finding work. > > sure. at the end of the day, i think there are really two things, and i harp on these each and every time i come on the show, that are kind of driving unemployment in this country. one, i think there's a structural problem. i don't think the fed is going to be able to have people create more jobs, because there is a problem with a mismatch of skills. there are two articles in friday's wall street journal that kind o
superstorm sandy. would bring it down by about 80,000. on the other side of the equation, you actually had an early thanksgiving, which could have added some jobs as employers pulled forward their normal seasonal hiring. so the 146, or 147, is about the same as- > 147,000 jobs created. > > right. is about the same as what has been created over the last two years. in 2011 the number was about 150,000 on average. in 2012, 150,000 on average. > it's also based on - at least the...
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superstorm sandy likely had an impact on the unemployment rate economisted expect the unemployment rate to remain at 7.9%. >>> president obama says this northern virginia couple is proof that lawmakers must come to an agreement on a budget deal by the end of the year. he met with tiffany and richard santana yesterday. living with tiffany's parents to help make ends meet. she wrote about her struggles to the white house as part of a social media campaign. >> we live with an extended family. we have two sets of adult incomes in our home. it would be more like a $4,000 tax increase for us, which would be relatively devastating for our family. i wanted to share that with the white house. i wasn't sure i was going to get a response, but i did want to at least make my voice heard. >> president obama says he'll only sign off on a budget deal that includes a tax hike for the wealthiest americans. republicans say they want to generate additional tax revenue by closing tax loopholes and eliminating some deductns. >>> the budget stalemate is taking its toll on maryland and virginia's governments.
superstorm sandy likely had an impact on the unemployment rate economisted expect the unemployment rate to remain at 7.9%. >>> president obama says this northern virginia couple is proof that lawmakers must come to an agreement on a budget deal by the end of the year. he met with tiffany and richard santana yesterday. living with tiffany's parents to help make ends meet. she wrote about her struggles to the white house as part of a social media campaign. >> we live with an...
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Dec 6, 2012
12/12
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estimation now trading in the low 50s, moves to the upper 50s, it's digesting the negativity surrounding sandy and its geographic location well. they've got the cash in hand to fund this. this is a solid company. >> dennis gould is sitting at 1700, not talking about a special dividend here but is it going to pay dividends to own gold? >> i think owning gold in dollars has been a bad trade for a while. i'm bullish for gold in non-u.s. dollar terms, in yen terms and if you own gold in yen terms over the course of the last two months you are profitable. somebody owns gold in dollar terms is down several points. gold is nothing more than another currency, crossed against other currencies and there's nothing spectacular about gold, it's just a currency. >> call it a slick slide for oil, crude falling 2% nearing its lowest level in three weeks. for more let's go to jackie deangelis, the host of "futures now." >> crude having a tough day, the question is why. look at this chart dollar strength is causing major pain for oil, our question today is there more to selling than just the dollar rally? let's
estimation now trading in the low 50s, moves to the upper 50s, it's digesting the negativity surrounding sandy and its geographic location well. they've got the cash in hand to fund this. this is a solid company. >> dennis gould is sitting at 1700, not talking about a special dividend here but is it going to pay dividends to own gold? >> i think owning gold in dollars has been a bad trade for a while. i'm bullish for gold in non-u.s. dollar terms, in yen terms and if you own gold in...
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Dec 5, 2012
12/12
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it, too, is likely to reflect temporary effects related to the aftermath of hurricane sandy. >> we're looking for only a 50,000 gain in jobs in november, well under that 170,000 average we've seen over the past three months. >> reporter: hurricane sandy's effects on hiring may be short- lived, but experts worry fiscal cliff concerns could result in a new storm brewing for workers looking to land a job in the coming weeks. suzanne pratt, "n.b.r.," new york. >> tom: citi and the financials lead the way higher on wall street, helping the dow top 13,000 again.at but a big drop in apple shares kept the nasdaq fromains.. by the closing bell, the dow was up 82 points, the nasdaq down 23, the s&p added two points. >> susie: investors were also encouraged by news that american workers were very productive this past summer, and that's good news for company profits. productivity increased at its fastest pace in two years, at an annual rate of 2.9% from july through september. that number blows away the initial estimate of 1.9%. erika miller takes a closer look at how technology is helping to boo
it, too, is likely to reflect temporary effects related to the aftermath of hurricane sandy. >> we're looking for only a 50,000 gain in jobs in november, well under that 170,000 average we've seen over the past three months. >> reporter: hurricane sandy's effects on hiring may be short- lived, but experts worry fiscal cliff concerns could result in a new storm brewing for workers looking to land a job in the coming weeks. suzanne pratt, "n.b.r.," new york. >> tom:...
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Dec 6, 2012
12/12
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two of them released their estimates of how much hurricane sandy will cost them. travelers figures the storm will cost it $650 million. hartford pegged its storm losses as high as $350 million. analysts say the companies can absorb the impact. both stocks were higher. travelers rallied 4.9%, closing less than one dollar away from a new 52-week high. hartford added 2.9%. drug giant pfizer had encouraging news on an experimental breast cancer drug. with up to $6 billion in potential global sales, the stock rallied. shares jumped 1.9% on heavier than usual volume. while the breast cancer drug tests were positive, any regulatory approval wouldn't happen for at least a couple of years. three of the five most actively traded exchange traded products were up. the financial e.t.f. had the best gains, up 1.2%. and that's tonight's "market focus." >> susie: a tough day for investors in freeport mcmoran. the stock plunged 16% on news that the mining company is buying two oil and gas producers. it's paying $9 billion for plains exploration and production company and mcmoran e
two of them released their estimates of how much hurricane sandy will cost them. travelers figures the storm will cost it $650 million. hartford pegged its storm losses as high as $350 million. analysts say the companies can absorb the impact. both stocks were higher. travelers rallied 4.9%, closing less than one dollar away from a new 52-week high. hartford added 2.9%. drug giant pfizer had encouraging news on an experimental breast cancer drug. with up to $6 billion in potential global sales,...
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Dec 6, 2012
12/12
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post-sandy now reservations have come back from these airlines. there was a lot of worry of cancellations. >> because a lot of families still have not recovered from that. there was a thought that would be a much longer lag. >> bookings have returned to normal. that's key. >> kenny pulkari is here. there's no recipe. >> we might have to do takeout in the herrera household tonight. it's coming, guys, but it probably won't be here until tomorrow. you just have to wait. the market's kind of waiting, too. it's all on washington. i was impressed with yesterday the market was able to hold on to an advance in the face of apple. i think that boded pretty well. >> well, i think that's true but i think apple is a situation and issue unto itself. right? certainly it affects -- you saw what it did to the nasdaq yesterday. but for the broader market i think it does say a lot for the strength of the broader market in terms what have it wants to see. it wants to see the resolution. whether apple goes up or down. if we get a resolution of the fiscal cliff or the
post-sandy now reservations have come back from these airlines. there was a lot of worry of cancellations. >> because a lot of families still have not recovered from that. there was a thought that would be a much longer lag. >> bookings have returned to normal. that's key. >> kenny pulkari is here. there's no recipe. >> we might have to do takeout in the herrera household tonight. it's coming, guys, but it probably won't be here until tomorrow. you just have to wait. the...
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Dec 7, 2012
12/12
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i think that the hurricane sandy may distort the numbers. we've seen it in some of the other high frequency data in the last couple of weeks. keep in mind tomorrow's labor market report will report on a snapshot of the labor market taken in the middle of last month. and that's when the hurricane and its aftermath were having their effects. >> so the consensus numbers from a survey of economists, they're expecting american businesses added 110,000 jobs it to their payroll. the unemployment rate staying around 7.9%. does that sit right with you. is that what you are seeing? >> probably somewhere around that maybe a little less. one of the problems is it is hard to gauge exactly what the impact of the storm will have. we know it's transitory, it's hard to say exactly how much numerically it will sub tract. if the number comes in lower than that i think a lot of people will say oh, it was probably the effect of the hurricane and they'll wait until the following month to see what kind of a rebound we get. >> let's talk a little bit about what we
i think that the hurricane sandy may distort the numbers. we've seen it in some of the other high frequency data in the last couple of weeks. keep in mind tomorrow's labor market report will report on a snapshot of the labor market taken in the middle of last month. and that's when the hurricane and its aftermath were having their effects. >> so the consensus numbers from a survey of economists, they're expecting american businesses added 110,000 jobs it to their payroll. the unemployment...
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Dec 10, 2012
12/12
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sandy, fiscal cliff. but as a result, the ones that fall and come down a lot, those are the ones you pick at. >> and pope benedict is launching a new application. pope to you on facebook. the application lets you listen to his words, see his pictures and receive messages of congratulations through virtual post cards. >>> all right, all right, sema? >> hewlitt packard jumping nearly 4%. carl may be interested in the company. hp facing serious issues and the stock faulling 44%. own an fast money at 5:00, we want to know if you think they can rise from the dead. >> thank so much. >>> final trades up next when we come back on "halftime." s. i d'. i have obligations. cute obligations, but obligations. i need to rethink the core of my portfolio. what i really need is sleep. introducing the ishares core, building blocks for the heart of your portfolio. find out why 9 out of 10 large professional investors choose ishares for their etfs. ishares by blackrock. call 1-800-ishares for a prospectus which includes inve
sandy, fiscal cliff. but as a result, the ones that fall and come down a lot, those are the ones you pick at. >> and pope benedict is launching a new application. pope to you on facebook. the application lets you listen to his words, see his pictures and receive messages of congratulations through virtual post cards. >>> all right, all right, sema? >> hewlitt packard jumping nearly 4%. carl may be interested in the company. hp facing serious issues and the stock faulling...
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gerri: sandy is an issue. >> sandy is a issue. it is temporary. people absorb the fear and move on. it is a great time to buy. time-shares are still lange wishing. i know, who wants a time-share? if you want a time-share you could get it for 30 cents on the dollar. gerri: wow! that is big discount looking for a discount out there. that is great advice. what other advice can you give to people trying to get rid of their house right now? they're trying to sell, trying to unload a house? maybe they lost a lot of value in that property? >> listen, it is no fun to lose value in a house and have to adjust to the idea you're going to get less money but what is great about the market less now you have another 30% increase in buyers out there. you have one-third fewer homes for sale. you have less competition and more people who want them. you have also out there is buyers are believing that the best part of the market might be gone. and that really pushes them into the market and gives you a higher bid. i think homeowners right now the best is yet to come. for buyers, the best already has h
gerri: sandy is an issue. >> sandy is a issue. it is temporary. people absorb the fear and move on. it is a great time to buy. time-shares are still lange wishing. i know, who wants a time-share? if you want a time-share you could get it for 30 cents on the dollar. gerri: wow! that is big discount looking for a discount out there. that is great advice. what other advice can you give to people trying to get rid of their house right now? they're trying to sell, trying to unload a house?...
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. >>> there is a newest mat tonight on the cleanup costs from superstorm sandy. new jersey's governor chris christie says the storm caused $37 billion in damages to his state alone. today he made the rounds at the white house and on capitol hill. he's asking lawmakers for an additional $88$83 billion in zafltzaflt disaster aid for his state and new york and connecticut. >>> tonight dozens of couples are officially to tie the knot in maryland. governor martin o'malley signed the referendum on same-sex marriage into law. this was the first day gay and lesbian couples could pick up marriage licenses in the state. >> we're so excited that on our 30th anniversary we will be married. and how does it change our life? it just unites us completely. we always felt we were married, but now it's legal! >> same-sex marriages won't actually be legal until january 1st. last month maryland, maine and washington became the first states to approve same-sex marriage by popular vote. >>> recreational use of marijuana is legal if washington state, taking effect today. adults are allo
. >>> there is a newest mat tonight on the cleanup costs from superstorm sandy. new jersey's governor chris christie says the storm caused $37 billion in damages to his state alone. today he made the rounds at the white house and on capitol hill. he's asking lawmakers for an additional $88$83 billion in zafltzaflt disaster aid for his state and new york and connecticut. >>> tonight dozens of couples are officially to tie the knot in maryland. governor martin o'malley signed...
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Dec 4, 2012
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another system on its way and sandy is tracking the next system as it moves in. >> let me show you live doppler 7 h d.we have some very light returns around ukiah. we have our own doppler on mount saint helena tracking the system for you. as i take you in a little bit closer here very light rain like i said around ukiah. around highway 2 53. old river road as we look across other parts of the bay area fish rock road very light returns just east of point arena and we'll continue to see the development of some rainfall. 5:00 a.m. tomorrow. north bay is where the light rain is falling. 7:00 a.m. still in the north bay this is look at the morning 9:00 a.m. still in the north bay but that will be changing as we head into 11:00 a.m. a little more wide spread to the north and as we lack terrain fall percent of normal the last 3 storms wished us well above average. santa rose 178 percent of normal. san francisco 160. oakland 153 and san jose 129 even surrounding areas you could i a-sacramento, well above normal for this time of year with more rawn coming with the next system that will push the
another system on its way and sandy is tracking the next system as it moves in. >> let me show you live doppler 7 h d.we have some very light returns around ukiah. we have our own doppler on mount saint helena tracking the system for you. as i take you in a little bit closer here very light rain like i said around ukiah. around highway 2 53. old river road as we look across other parts of the bay area fish rock road very light returns just east of point arena and we'll continue to see the...
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the labor department says no affect on sandy. there was some data that pointed to the fact that people were leaving the workforce because of sandy. >> the numbers speak for themselves. i do not think the full effects can be known until maybe a couple of weeks. there certainly are people that cannot go to work and have been laid off because businesses are out. there are all sorts of new jobs that have sprung up. i may head down there and start looking for a job myself. cheryl: construction, there was a loss of 20,000. most of us expected a little bit of a game and that ector. >> maybe it will take a little bit longer to give up. my brother is still out of his house. they cannot get anyone to do work on it yet. cheryl: let's go over to the cme. i know that metals has been a big focus for a lot of traders today. what are you watching? >> just the price action in gold. it really gives the feedback. people, you know, maybe a risk on trade. it jumps back to the 17th 04 daily highs. that makes me believe i want to belong before the meet
the labor department says no affect on sandy. there was some data that pointed to the fact that people were leaving the workforce because of sandy. >> the numbers speak for themselves. i do not think the full effects can be known until maybe a couple of weeks. there certainly are people that cannot go to work and have been laid off because businesses are out. there are all sorts of new jobs that have sprung up. i may head down there and start looking for a job myself. cheryl:...
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Dec 7, 2012
12/12
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WBAL
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founder of lumber liquidators to find out if increased home sales and efforts to rebuild after hurricane sandy could drive it higher. all coming up on "mad money." >>> don't miss a second of "mad money." follow @jimcramer on twitter. have a question? tweet cramer #madtweets. send jim an e-mail to madmoney@cnbc.com or give us a call at 1-800-743-cnbc. miss something? head to madmoney.cnbc.com. [ male announcer ] alka-seltzer plus presents the cold truth. i have a cold, and i took nyquil, but i'm still "stubbed" up. [ male announcer ] truth is, nyquil doesn't unstuff your nose. what? [ male announcer ] it doesn't have a decongestant. no way. [ male announcer ] sorry. alka-seltzer plus fights your worst cold symptoms plus has a fast acting decongestant to relieve your stuffy nose. [ sighs ] thanks! [ male announcer ] you're welcome. that's the cold truth! [ male announcer ] alka-seltzer plus. ♪ oh what a relief it is! ♪ [ male announcer ] to learn more about the cold truth and save $1 visit alka-seltzer on facebook. prove it. enough is enough. d-con no view, no touch trap snaps to kill instan
founder of lumber liquidators to find out if increased home sales and efforts to rebuild after hurricane sandy could drive it higher. all coming up on "mad money." >>> don't miss a second of "mad money." follow @jimcramer on twitter. have a question? tweet cramer #madtweets. send jim an e-mail to madmoney@cnbc.com or give us a call at 1-800-743-cnbc. miss something? head to madmoney.cnbc.com. [ male announcer ] alka-seltzer plus presents the cold truth. i have a...
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one is sandy. at one quarter of america's population didn't do anything for three four days. the second thing is the uncertainty of the election which held back business investment. for quarter definitely will be weak but the next year i think 2.5 to 3% growth. >> thank you. dave: one of the smartest people in america, no doubt. thank you, good to see you. the clock is ticking away to major tax hikes for everybody. john boehner saying there is no progress to report. so what is going on inside the beltway? we will head there to try to find out. brian led that tells us how the new 60-40 portfolio should look. [ woman ] ring. ring. progresso. your soups are so awesomely delicious my husband and i can't stop eating 'em! what's...that... onyour head? can curlers! tomato basil, potato with bacon... we've got a lot of empty cans. [ male announcer ] progresso. you gotta taste this soup. . . . .. david: come january 1st, no matter which tax plan is put in place the federal government will still spend trillions of dollars each year. lauren: we talked taxes. now let's former cbo directo
one is sandy. at one quarter of america's population didn't do anything for three four days. the second thing is the uncertainty of the election which held back business investment. for quarter definitely will be weak but the next year i think 2.5 to 3% growth. >> thank you. dave: one of the smartest people in america, no doubt. thank you, good to see you. the clock is ticking away to major tax hikes for everybody. john boehner saying there is no progress to report. so what is going on...